The teams who hold the top ten draft picks all have multiple needs, major ones, and are all expected to draft impact players. After we get past #10, there are six teams ahead of the Titans which have a strong need for a guard. One of those six will almost certainly select DeCastro unless the Titans are able to trade up in front of them.
Those six teams and the positions they are scheduled to draft in are:
(Note: the Cowboys addressed the guard position in free agency, but DeCastro would still be an upgrade for them.)
So do the Titans try to trade up to ninth or tenth, to make absolutely sure they get DeCastro? Or do they gamble that he's not taken in the top 14 and then try to move up to 15 or 16, ahead of the Bengals and Chargers?
Here's what it would cost to move up to each of those spots.
The Panthers, who draft ninth, might be a willing trade partner. 18 of 20 mock drafts I recently surveyed had Carolina taking a d-lineman with the ninth overall pick. With all the good d-linemen who have first-round grades, the Panthers could conceivably trade down to 20, still get a good d-lineman they like, and acquire extra picks. According to the draft trade value chart, if you believe in it, the ninth pick is worth 1,350 points. The Titans would need to trade their first, second, third and fifth round picks (1,439 points) for the Panthers first and fourth rounders (1,436 points), or something comparable, to move up to ninth.
Buffalo has the tenth pick and their biggest need is a left tackle. They're expected to draft Riley Reiff, who was projected to go to the Bills in 10 of 20 mock drafts surveyed, and if they really like Reiff, they may not want to trade down. In that case, the Titans might need to trade up to ninth instead. If the Titans were able to trade with the Bills at #10, it would still be expensive, though not quite as much as ninth. The tenth pick is worth 1,300 points, so Tennessee would need to give their first, second, fourth and sixth picks (1,309 points) for the Bills' first and seventh round picks (1,305 points.)
If the cost of either of those moves is too high, the Titans could seek to trade with the Eagles at #15 or Jets at #16, to get ahead of the Bengals and Chargers, assuming DeCastro hadn't already been taken by the Chiefs, Seahawks, Cardinals or Cowboys.
The Eagles' 15th overall pick is worth 1,050 points. It would cost the Titans their first, third, fifth and seventh round picks (1,060 points) to get Philly's first-rounder and the third of their sixth-round picks (1,061 points.)
To trade with the Jets at #16, the Titans would have to give their first and third picks (1,030 points) for the Jets' first and fifth-rounders (1,030 points.) I would be all for that and would hope the Jets would be for it as well. (Note: I just heard a rumor on the radio that the Jets inquired about Trent Richardson, to verify his contact info was correct. Could they trade up into the top five, and if so, who would take over their #16 spot?)
You may not agree with the draft value chart and that's fine; simply adjust the values according to what you think they should be.
My question for you is, should the Titans trade up for DeCastro, and if so, how much should they give up to get in position to draft him? For that matter, is there anyone else (Cox, Ingram, et al) you'd like for the Titans to trade up for, and if so, how much should the Titans give up for them?
i think the titans should trade up to get blackmon i know its a risky more but if we get a receiver like him and have him on the other side of britt do you think teams can still stack the box and leave either britt or blackmon one on one or even both one on one? if they do its almost like handing the titans a touchdown and then in round 2 i think they should pick up heyward cb from vandy. and then go with a o lineman and then pick up robinson lb from texas. the titans can be superbowl contenders if they can help free up the box for johnson like picking up blackmon then you have 3 homerun hitters on your team that defenses wont be able to handle.
No. The titans should not, will not trade up for DeCastro or anyone for that matter. The titans aren't a player or 2 from a super bowl and Muchak has already said they won't take an interior lineman with their first round pick. If DeCastro were to fall then they would probably change their tune, but this team is to young and to thin at nearly every position to be trading away draft picks. Giving that much away to move up essentially makes whatever player they are moving to get a risk. If the player were to have a season ending, then the majority of the draft would be lost for a season. Maybe 2 years down the road after Locker has developed more the Titans could afford to make riskier moves. At this point in the building stage, the Titans should stay at 20 or trade down and acquire more picks. The interior line was arguably the weakest spot on the team and DeCastro is exactly what we need, but there are also serious needs along the defensive line that must be addressed if this team is going to progress in the building process.
@BobbyAlescio Making this move would be a mistake. If the Titans are going to draft a first round wide receiver, then they need to do it in a draft with a deeper WR class. Some question whether Blackmon can be a true #1 receiver. Kenny Britt is entrenched as our #1 and was selected with the 30th pick. If the titans were to draft a receiver, it should be by sitting at 20 and taking Floyd or trading back for Hill or Wright.
@MatthewHenry Thanks, Matthew. I don't agree with you completely - I'd like to see them get DeCastro if the price is right - but you do make some good points. FWIW, I don't believe the Titans will trade up, but I wanted to address the issue of what it would cost them if they did.
Regarding Munch's statement, I learned many years ago not to trust what any coach or GM says, especially before the draft. As always, thanks for reading and taking the time to comment.