18 to 88
Last Monday, Nate Dunlevy, regular Q&A partner and Colts blogger extraordinaire for
, took a look
at the question of whether or not the AFC South teams played the Colts tough. He found that on the whole the Jaguars, Titans, and Texans didn't beat the Colts or play close games particularly often. I suggested that the perception divisional games are tougher might come from the second matchup in a season being a closer game, but he took a look
at that as well, and found, no, the results for the second matchup in a season look like the results for the first matchup. I thought I'd take a look at the same question, but from the Titans perspective.
The hardest part of an analysis like this is setting the proper baseline. Nate took a look at points for and against and the final result, which is a good way of looking at the problem, but I think it's tough to set a baseline. I'd prefer to use a somewhat different measure, one that enables to us to tell how well the Titans played, given the fact that they were playing that opponent, and that the Titans were that good this year. Fortunately, we have a metric I like that suits our purpose: Football Outsiders